The results so far from this election give rise to a number of obvious questions.
Given that the 2013 result was a massive reaction by the electorate to the disrupted government under Labor, it was only natural that the votes would come back to a more normal ratio this time around, but IF we have a new Labor Government, did Labor win or the Coalition lose this one?
My opinion. Lots of both. Start with the Coalition. Abbott was a very effective Opposition Leader, heavily criticised for three word slogans in the last election, but identifying a number of key issues that had voters concerned. His government DID stop the flood of boats. They DID can the Carbon Tax (whether this was an achievement depends on your voting preference, I suppose). Like it or not, Abbott successfully negotiated major Free Trade Agreements with key trading partners. Unfortunately, the electorate didn't like him and the tough 2014 budget and multiple broken stupid and unnecessary promises meant that he was never going to get back in their good books.
I'm one of those who thought Turnbull was potentially a better leader. I think now I was wrong. Turnbull's achievements in nine months of leadership could be fitted into a jam jar. He managed to lunch an immense popularity lead over Shorten and turn it into a **** sandwich. He dithered and prevaricated over major taxation reform. His budget was just more ammunition for the Opposition to berate and turn against him. It's unfair that his wealth (which he earned through persistence and hard work) was turned against him so successfully. t's obvious that he lacks credibility with the electorate now. IMO, even if he scrapes home, the Coalition will need to start thinking about the next leader. If he loses, they will definitely be looking for a new leader. I now think he was a poor leader and must shoulder a major part of the responsibility for the government's poor performance, prior to and during the election.
So, Shorten. Personally, I detest him, both for what he represents but more for the chronic lying program he perveyed regarding Medicare, but scaremongering works well with lots of people when it comes to their hip pockets and the Coalition will always be vulnerable in that area. A number of other Government policies which were unpopular gave Labor so much ammunition that it was only a matter of using it to the best advantage. But please, Bill, if you win, is Same Sex Marriage really the most important thing to address first thing, rather than the issues that matter to the whole nation and not just a percentage of it?
The Senate looks like being a bigger dog's breakfast than it was before, but if Labor wins, the Senate will probably work more in their favor that they might if the Coalition wins.
Either way, we all lost. Whoever wins power, the chances of either party getting all their agendas through the Senate are pretty small so it looks like the DD was actually a Double Dud for the right, failed to achieve its objective and has left us with more political turmoil.