Skylarking
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As a general comment on collectables being valuable, a lot depends on model desirability and vehicle drivability... #1.
The desirability part tends to be from kids that have grow, become wealthy, and in middle age+ want to relive their childhood car ownership dreams. That puts the cars that fetch big $$ around the 40+/- year mark.
The drivability part is dependant on part supply going forward, simply because parts are needed to keep old machines on the road since not many want to spend big $$ on something that is undrivable, rusted and falling apart (if they can’t be repaired).
Historically, any gap in OEM supply has been able to be filled somewhat by 3rd parties, however, airbag availability as spare parts from 3rd parties (I suspect) has a number of regulatory hurdles which would mean no 3rd party supplier steps in to fill that void. This airbag issue, in and of itself, may see many more modern vehicles crushed/recycled as compared to what happened to the non airbag vehicles at a similar age. Therefore they may actually disappear sooner than the 70’s and 80’s clunkers did. For the modern garage queens, such could be a blessing in disguise as values peak much quicker. But like a double edged sword, keeping it too long could run into parts issues and dropping values.
Being a dead brand doesn’t help the prices situation for modern Holden cars going forward, so that also adds to the mix. Heck, if they had forums in the 20’s, the discussions around Packards and their future values would likely have been similar, but who wants a Packard today? Not many...
Anyway time will tell
The desirability part tends to be from kids that have grow, become wealthy, and in middle age+ want to relive their childhood car ownership dreams. That puts the cars that fetch big $$ around the 40+/- year mark.
The drivability part is dependant on part supply going forward, simply because parts are needed to keep old machines on the road since not many want to spend big $$ on something that is undrivable, rusted and falling apart (if they can’t be repaired).
Historically, any gap in OEM supply has been able to be filled somewhat by 3rd parties, however, airbag availability as spare parts from 3rd parties (I suspect) has a number of regulatory hurdles which would mean no 3rd party supplier steps in to fill that void. This airbag issue, in and of itself, may see many more modern vehicles crushed/recycled as compared to what happened to the non airbag vehicles at a similar age. Therefore they may actually disappear sooner than the 70’s and 80’s clunkers did. For the modern garage queens, such could be a blessing in disguise as values peak much quicker. But like a double edged sword, keeping it too long could run into parts issues and dropping values.
Being a dead brand doesn’t help the prices situation for modern Holden cars going forward, so that also adds to the mix. Heck, if they had forums in the 20’s, the discussions around Packards and their future values would likely have been similar, but who wants a Packard today? Not many...
Anyway time will tell