I’m talking about kids alive now, not ones yet to be born in 20 years time. The cheap cars in another 10-20 years will be the complex turbocharged, direct injected, VVT, DOD cars that are brand new right now.
They won’t last 300,000kms+ without major repair bills. Turbos need replacement every 100,000kms on average ($2000+). Direct injection fouls the inlet valves with carbon and the injectors are expensive to replace. CVT transmissions have trouble lasting the warranty period let alone doing 300,000kms. They are also highly dependant on clean CVT fluid so miss a CVT service and it’s a lot more problematic than an old school auto box.